11 Aug · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1530
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 70% (50)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.