11 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Knazik
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1456
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (114)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)