11 Aug · 13:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1419
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1559
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (61)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)