11 Aug · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1530
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fojtik
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (16)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.