11 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1463
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hula
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1428
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Hula goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Hula
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.