11 Aug · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1563
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Arkadiusz
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1474
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H42-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-26)