11 Aug · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JW
🇨🇿Jakub Walek
ELO 1431
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1527
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)