11 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1525
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1554
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora🌟Moravec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.