11 Aug · 17:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1555
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fitl
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1550
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.