11 Aug · 21:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1548
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.