11 Aug · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1581
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dzida
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1497
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 69% (55)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)