11 Aug · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1426
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jamrich
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.