11 Aug · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1522
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Melichar
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)