11 Aug · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1497
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1649
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H28-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-20)