12 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1644
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Cerny
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1568
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)