12 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1435
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1454
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (31)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.