12 Aug · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sevecek
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1454
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)