12 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sevecek
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1428
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)