12 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1662
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lysakowski
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+206
H2H60-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-36)