12 Aug · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gola
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H122-75
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (122-75)