12 Aug · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1625
FormLWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stepien
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1475
FormWWLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+150
H2H102-72
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-72)