12 Aug · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1622
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Radlo
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1553
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H37-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-36)