12 Aug · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Drozd
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1479
FormLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.