12 Aug · 17:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1533
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vosyka
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1567
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.