12 Aug · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1524
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1690
FormLLWLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+166
H2H86-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-66)