12 Aug · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1479
FormLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1525
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.