12 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1693
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1724
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.