12 Aug · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1684
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Niezgoda
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1593
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 74% (43)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H35-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-27)