12 Aug · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1499
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vosyka
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1546
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Vidourek goes over total as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.