12 Aug · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1540
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1630
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)