12 Aug · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1617
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kowalewski
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1602
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.