12 Aug · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1531
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bucko
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1598
FormLWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Bucko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H45-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-41)