13 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Benes
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Benes rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (102)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H25-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.