13 Aug · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michal Sokol
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sokol
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1464
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sokol
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)