13 Aug · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1684
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kocab
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1613
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)