13 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1521
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Osmera
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1432
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H28-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-12)