13 Aug · 12:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sindler
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1424
FormLWWLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (66)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)