13 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1505
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1575
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)