13 Aug · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1506
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (49)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.