13 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1541
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (66)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H26-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.