13 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1613
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H76-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (76-60)