13 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1509
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heuman
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Przybyla🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (39)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.