13 Aug · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1560
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1684
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+124
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)