13 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1424
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jancak
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1506
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 71% (58)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)