13 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1560
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1474
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H22-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)