13 Aug · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1600
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Macurak
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H8-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)