13 Aug · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1560
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dvorak
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1432
FormLLWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H53-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-29)