13 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1524
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)