13 Aug · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1575
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)