13 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1471
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1508
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H78-80
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.